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54 pages 1 hour read

Morgan Housel

The Psychology of Money

Nonfiction | Book | Adult | Published in 2020

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Chapter 19-PostscriptChapter Summaries & Analyses

Chapter 19 Summary: “All Together Now”

Housel consolidates his main pieces of advice with brief descriptions of each. The first is to always approach finances with humility and to gracefully accept that some things will go wrong—do not judge yourself, or others, harshly. Secondly, Housel reminds the reader to manage their ego so that they waste less money on status symbols and enjoy the benefits of building real wealth. Next, he recommends maintaining a financial plan that does not create needless risk or stress. He also reminds the reader that following a long-time horizon is the best way to make the most out of their investments, as their profits should compound over decades.

Additionally, Housel advises the reader to accept that they will always experience some losses, maintaining that you can still grow wealthy even while losing money on certain investments. People should use their wealth to gain flexibility and more control over their lives, since this is proven as a major boon to overall happiness and quality of life. Housel insists that everyone should save, whether they have a specific reason to or not, and that any financial plan must have a margin for error to avoid ruin. Similarly, it is important to avoid extreme commitments in financial planning, as they are not sustainable. Lastly, it is crucial to “define the game you’re playing” (187) and understand your own goals in order to avoid unquestioningly following the crowd and mismanaging your funds based on advice that is not relevant to you.

Chapter 20 Summary: “Confessions”

Housel argues that many professionals dole out advice to clients that they would not necessarily follow themselves. For example, 50% of mutual fund managers do not even invest in their own funds. Housel maintains that while there are certain guidelines to money management that are essential, most financial decisions are subjective and personal.

He explains that for him personally, being independent and having control over his own life has always been the top priority for him and his wife. He learned from his parents that it is good practice to live below your means so that you can maintain a high savings rate, giving you more freedom and flexibility in the future. Housel and his wife have followed a similar tactic, maintaining a relatively modest lifestyle that is far below their income, always saving for the future. Housel has prioritized “reasonable” over “rational” decisions: For example, he owns his house without a mortgage, even though he could have taken advantage of low mortgage rates when buying. He argues that the peace of mind this gives him is far better than whatever profits he could have generated with spare cash. Likewise, Housel, citing his low tolerance for risk, maintains an accessible savings fund that gives them peace of mind that they could survive emergencies. He also believes that this increases the likelihood of being able to leave his stocks untouched, allowing compounding to occur uninterrupted.

Housel explains that his investing strategy is to own low-cost index stocks. In his youth, Housel tried to be a “stock picker” and purchased stocks in specific companies such as Proctor and Gamble, but cites the low chances of “beating the market” (195) with his decision to diversify and maintain index investing instead.

Housel appreciates the simplicity of his approach. His assets consist of his house, savings, and Vanguard index funds. He argues that such a simple approach has the same chances of success as strategies that are complicated and time-consuming, since he believes that in investing, increasing effort does not guarantee a better result. Housel explains that his investing strategy “relies on a high savings rate, patience, and optimism that the global economy will create value over the next several decades” (197).

Postscript Summary: “A Brief History of Why the US Consumer Thinks the Way They Do”

Housel explores the American consumer experience since WWll. He argues that any “reasonable narrative” predicting such an unlikely course of events would have been impossible to make, reminding the reader that history is full of surprises (198). Once WWII was over, America faced several crises. One was a housing shortage, since the country had focused its manufacturing on producing war goods rather than construction. Another issue was an abrupt shift in the type of work available, since war production jobs were no longer necessary and returning soldiers often quickly married and wanted to establish themselves in their own homes. To make matters worse, America struggled to find markets for its exports since Europe and Japan were in shambles.

Economic advisors warned President Truman that these factors could prompt another Great Depression. In response, the Truman administration made interest rates low, and Americans easily borrowed money to fund their consumption: “Consumption became an explicit economic strategy in the years after World War ll” (201). When credit cards were introduced in 1950, it became even easier to borrow heavily, while returning soldiers enjoyed the benefits of the “GI Bill,” which  enabled them to access low-interest mortgages.

Housel argues that the frugality and thrift of the Depression and war years created a “pent-up demand for stuff,” which was enthusiastically filled in the post-war years as consumer spending soared, creating an economic boom (202). The results of this economic boom included lifting many Americans out of poverty, narrowing the class divide between rich and impoverished, and more women joining the workforce.

Housel claims that Americans of different classes and regions became more economically equalized as they accessed the same goods and tuned in to the same pop culture. While debt certainly rose, incomes were also rising, and so many Americans found their debt manageable. As a result, for younger Americans indebtedness became normalized and acceptable.

In the 1970s, America endured a recession, which occurred alongside social upheaval and protests against the Vietnam War and other policies. While other nations such as China, Japan, and Middle Eastern countries became wealthier and more competitive, Americans grew disappointed in their own economic progress, especially since the younger generation had grown up as enthusiastic consumers in a relatively egalitarian culture. While the economy eventually rebounded in the 1980s, it did so in a way that created more income inequality, which Housel describes as “nearly the opposite of the flattening that occurred after the war” (210).

Housel connects the “flattening” of incomes and people’s similar living conditions in 1950s America with the “Keeping Up With The Jones’s” phenomenon, which plagues American consumers today. Housel argues that envy and a sense of entitlement prompt some Americans to overspend in order to attain the same lifestyle as higher earners, saddling them with significant debt. Housel calls the beginning of the debt crisis “an ugly, painful moment” (213) since some consumers realized they had acquired more debt than they could pay off. While the worst aspects of the debt crisis have waned in recent years, Housel argues that the American economy today “works better for some people than others” and that the path to success “isn’t as meritocratic as it used to be” (213). He claims that America’s inequality is growing, sparking resentment amongst people who aspire to success, but feel held back by something systemic. Housel claims that social movements as disparate as Occupy Wall Street, Brexit, and Donald Trump’s supporters are all, in part, reacting to dashed expectations, as adherents to these movements seem to feel disappointed and left out.

While the US has had some economic difficulties in recent years, Housel is optimistic about the future, pointing to growing employment rates, rising wages, slowing college costs, and improvements in other services such as medicine, transportation, and more. The author argues that “expectations move slower than reality on the ground” (215) and that people’s impression that the middle class is declining will likely persist for some time, even if a middle-class boom occurs now. He concludes his work by stating that economics is cyclical, and conditions will always change.

Chapter 19-Postscript Analysis

Housel uses his final chapters as an opportunity to synthesize his advice and emphasize his most important recommendations. These passages underline Housel’s view that finance and financial advice is quite subjective, and that we should all avoid prescriptivist approaches to the topic. The author retains his nuanced stance that while there are some rules that are essential to follow, the rest of money management can be highly personal. He explains, “I can’t tell you what to do with your money, because I don’t know you […] [But] there are universal truths in money, even if people come to different conclusions about how they want to apply these truths to their finances” (185).

Chapter 20, “Confessions,” helps the reader understand how Housel applies his recommendations in his own life. By reiterating that independence is his main financial goal, Housel invites the reader to consider how much of their income they are saving and how it could be maximized to give them more freedom later in life. He writes, “I mostly just want to wake up every day knowing my family and I can do whatever we want on our own terms. Every financial decision we make revolves around that goal” (191). The author’s description of his modest lifestyle emphasizes the fact that a high savings rate requires some sacrifices; Housel writes that he is proudest of his restraint. He explains, “If there’s a part of our household financial plan I’m proud of, it’s that we got the goalpost of lifestyle desires to stop moving at a young age” (192).

Housel’s analysis of the post-war American economy reiterates how unpredictable history can be, again undermining financial experts who give concrete advice, since no one can predict exactly how stocks and economies will fare. He connects this inherent unpredictability with people’s desire for stability as well as how our perceptions and expectations are shaped by what we have experienced. For example, he examines how the recession of the 1970s upset people who had come of age in the 1950s and experienced economic prosperity, which had brought good incomes and low-interest rates. He writes, “One of the biggest shifts in the last century happened when the economic winds began blowing in a different, uneven direction but people’s expectations were still rooted in a post-war culture of equality” (208).

As in his other chapters, Housel uses anecdotes to enliven his work and paint a picture for the reader. For instance, he likens financial advisors giving strict, prescriptivist advice to their clients to doctors operating on their patients without their consent. To make his point, he relays a story about a 1930s dentist who performed surgery without his patient’s consent, which unfortunately caused the patient’s death. Housel’s approach therefore relays general values rather than quantitative analysis.

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