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55 pages 1 hour read

Thomas Piketty

Capital in the Twenty-First Century

Nonfiction | Book | Adult | Published in 2013

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Part 4, Chapters 13-14Chapter Summaries & Analyses

Part 4, Chapter 13 Summary: “A Social State for the Twenty-First Century”

Several conclusions can be drawn from the first three parts of the book. First, it was the shocks of the world wars and their aftermath, especially in terms of government policies, that temporarily reduced inequality in the world. However, from the 1980s onwards inequality has grown again, and in the 21st century it has equalled and is looking likely to surpass the inequalities of the past. As such, Piketty asks whether those concerned with reducing inequality are condemned to wait around for another world war. Or, alternatively, “can we imagine political institutions that might regulate today’s patrimonial capitalism justly as well as efficiently” (597)? His answer is that the latter is possible through a progressive international tax on capital. However, before exploring this idea in more detail, he looks at a broader preliminary question: What role should the state have in the 21st century economy?

Piketty points out, in addressing this question, that the role of the state has been thrust centre stage by the financial crisis of 2007-2008. That this crisis did not descend into an economic depression on the scale of 1929 was due to state intervention to prevent the collapse of banks. However, there was also frustration that the underlying structural issues which caused the crisis were not addressed. These issues included a lack of financial transparency and regulation as well as inequality. As such, many feel that “new instruments are needed to regain control over a financial capitalism that has run amok” (601).

At the same, Piketty argues that an increase in the size of the state is not a solution to the problems of global capitalism or inequality. First, he points out, the size of the state, in terms of tax revenues as a percentage of national income, is already high. From around ten percent of national income in 1910, between 1950 and 2010 the size of the state in developed nations has stabilized between thirty and fifty percent of national income, with the US the lowest and Sweden the highest. This was due to the rise of the of the post-war social state which took responsibility for health, education, and social welfare, including pensions and unemployment benefits.

In any case, an increase beyond fifty percent is difficult because it would require, in an era of low growth, substantial reductions of private incomes and spending. A larger state would also entail greater organisational difficulties and costs. As such, what Piketty advocates is not an expansion of the state but its modernization, especially in the areas of education and pensions. Only once this has been achieved will people become more sympathetic to a greater regulatory function for the state in relation to capital.

Part 4, Chapter 14 Summary: “Rethinking the Progressive Income Tax”

Piketty looks at the issue of government tax and revenues specifically in connection with progressive income tax and inheritance tax. Taxes, to clarify, can be levied on consumption, income, and capital (as in the case of estate taxes). They can also take three forms. The first is “progressive,” where the rich pay a higher proportion of tax relative to their income or wealth. The second is “proportional,” where rich and poor pay an equal proportion. Lastly, there is “regressive” tax in which the poor pay a higher proportion than the rich. An example of this was Margaret Thatcher’s 1990 Poll tax in the UK, which obliged all adults to pay the same nominal amount regardless of income, meaning the poor paid a higher proportion.

Piketty points out that progressive taxation was important to the foundation of the social state in Europe and America. However, since the 1980s, globalization and tax competition between nations, has systematically lowered taxes on capital. This has meant that as of 2010, European and American tax systems have become regressive overall. Such a tax system leads to increased inequality as it allows capital to become ever more concentrated. Just as important, it undermines support for the social state. As Piketty says, if the very wealthiest (the owners of most capital) pay little or no tax, then the middle class, “would naturally find it difficult to accept that they should pay more than the upper class” (635). The fairness and validity of the tax system is called into question and those on lower incomes start to question and oppose the globalized economy.

Looking at the evolution of progressive taxes in different countries, Piketty notes how the US and UK had the highest top rates of tax from 1930 to 1980, then cut them below the levels of continental Europe. Further, he rejects the argument that cuts in marginal rates of income tax improved productivity either in the UK or US. For, as he says, “the crucial fact is that the rate of per capita GDP growth has been almost exactly the same in all the rich countries since 1980” (655).

Part 4, Chapters 13-14 Analysis

Commenting on the rise of fascism, British philosopher Bertrand Russel noted that “political democracies that do not democratize their economic systems are inherently unstable” (653). Contemporary western societies face two challenges in terms of achieving democratization. That is, they face two tests to ensure that the majority have a say in how their economies are run and that they are meaningful stakeholders in capitalism’s future. These hang on the issues extreme and growing inequalities of wealth and of rising and unmeritocratic inequalities of income. Both these problems must be resolved if western democracy is to avoid profound, and fatally destabilising, conflict in the century to come.

Taking the second issue first, Piketty recommends an increase in progressive tax on the highest incomes. Such progressive taxes in the 20th century, as he says, “offered a way of limiting the inequalities of industrial capitalism while maintaining respect for private property and the forces of competition” (638). In other words, high income tax prevented extremes of income inequality and did so without recourse to confiscation of property or the abolition of markets. They also helped to fund the social state which brought education, health, and basic economic security to all. Regrettably, these taxes were cut as part of the neo-liberal reforms of the 1980s and they have remained low ever since. For example, the top marginal rate of tax in the US was seventy percent up to 1981. It then fell to fifty percent in 1982 and thirty-eight-point five percent in 1987, where it has roughly remained to the present. In the UK, the top rate of income tax was eighty three percent in the 1970s, until 1979, when it was cut first to sixty percent, then again to forty percent in 1987. It currently stands at forty five percent.

Piketty argues that a return to pre 1980 tax rates would help limit the most egregious pay inequalities and temper incentives for executives to ask for large pay raises. It would also secure “consensus support for the fiscal and social state” (635) which been eroded by two factors since the 1980s.

First, cuts in social spending, in part a consequence of lowered taxes and government revenues, have led to a deterioration in many public services. This has meant middle-class people increasingly rely on private health, transport, and education to guarantee quality of services. As a result, they question why they are paying taxes for services they do not use. This undermines support for the social state even further (an extreme example of this situation can be seen in modern day South Africa).

Second, low top marginal rates of tax mean that, when combined with their large incomes from capital and greater resources to limit or avoid tax, the richest end up paying proportionally less than the middle classes. The latter are therefore more likely to question the legitimacy of having income taxes in the first place. This may lead to demands for lower taxes for themselves, and a further dislocation from, and erosion of, the social state. Higher progressive top income tax rates could reverse these trends, limiting inequality and helping create a common stake in a fairer society. This would be underscored by the social roles of the state. As Piketty says, it would give the US government in particular, “the revenues it sorely needs to develop the meager US social state and invest more in health and education” (661). In short, it would allow for a rejuvenated social role for the state, and it would provide a fairer means of cutting the deficit without slashing support for social programmes even further.

The question, however, is whether this proposal is politically attainable. It would certainly be in the interest of the majority, including the middle class. Yet what if, as Piketty asks, along with that of other western nations, “the US political process has been captured by the one percent” (661)? What if the increased wealth and incomes of the richest have allowed them an effective stranglehold on political power? This could be because politicians and political parties rely on financial support from wealthy donors. In addition, the media is owned by an increasingly wealthy elite, who circumscribe the terms of political debate. In these cases, a higher top rate of income tax would be prematurely dismissed as politically unfeasible. At the same time, it would be attacked by the media, despite the evidence to the contrary, for threatening productivity, and the well-being of all.

Still, it is possible that the capturing of politics and the media by the rich is not absolute. New political actors and movements may emerge which challenge this hegemony, and again make Piketty’s suggestion politically viable.  

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